Acquiring signal…
The Q-Review
September 20 – 26, 2026
6 ahead11 flown100% success
The scorecard
3/3 calls3/3
Weather calls right
0.006
Brier, this week
0.040
Brier, 47 launches
Launch94% GOFlew
Launch88% GOFlew
Launch99% GOFlew
Brier score is the mean squared error of our published probability against what happened — 0 is perfect, 0.25 is what you’d score by saying “50%” every time. Scrubs for non-weather reasons are left out; they don’t test a weather forecast.
What flew
11Sunday, September 13, 2026
Tuesday, September 15, 2026
01:21 UTC
Sentinel-3C & FLEXVega-C · Guiana Space Centre, French Guiana789×844 km, 98.6°, 101.2 min
Success
06:26 UTC
SpaceSail Polar Group #15Zhuque-2E Block 2 · Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center, People's Republic of China863×920 km, 89.2°, 102.8 min
Success
22:00 UTC
SpaceSail Polar Group #16Gravity-1 · Haiyang Oriental Spaceport781×813 km, 88.2°, 100.8 min
Success
Wednesday, September 16, 2026
Thursday, September 17, 2026
00:32 UTC
SatNet LEO Group 25Long March 12 · Wenchang Space Launch Site, People's Republic of China892×911 km, 50°, 103 min
Success
01:07 UTC
USSF-259Falcon 9 Block 5 · Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA253×273 km, 80°, 89.8 min
Success
02:40 UTC
SpaceTY-51 & 52Kuaizhou 11 · Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center, People's Republic of China833×846 km, 55.1°, 101.7 min
Success
16:00 UTC
Glonass-K1 No. 20 (?)Soyuz 2.1b Fregat-M · Plesetsk Cosmodrome, Russian Federation
Success
The week ahead
6Sunday, September 20, 2026
01:47 UTC
Starlink Group 15-27Falcon 9 Block 5 · Vandenberg SFB, CA, USAA batch of 27 satellites for the Starlink mega-constellation - SpaceX's project for space-based Internet communication system.
LEO
04:00 UTC
Unknown PayloadKinetica 1 · Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center, People's Republic of ChinaKinetica 1 carrying Unknown Payload to Unknown.
Wednesday, September 23, 2026
Thursday, September 24, 2026
Saturday, September 26, 2026
00:15 UTC
Owlright, Owlright, Owlright (StriX Launch 13)Electron · Rocket Lab Launch Complex 1, Mahia Peninsula, New ZealandSynthetic aperture radar satellite for Japanese Earth imaging company Synspective.
LEO
11:56 UTC
USSF-385Falcon 9 Block 5 · Vandenberg SFB, CA, USAA classified mission for the United States Space Force. It is possibly a batch of classified LEO satellites based on SpaceX’s Starshield satellite bus, based on locations of rocket stage drop zones being exact fits with previous Starlink Group 15 launches.
LEO
The week in numbers
6Coming up
11Flown
100%Success
7Nations
100% of resolved attempts reached orbit
Past issues
13№ 13
September 13 – 19, 2026
№ 12
September 6 – 12, 2026
№ 11
August 30 – September 5, 2026
№ 10
August 23 – 29, 2026
№ 9
August 16 – 22, 2026
№ 8
August 9 – 15, 2026
№ 7
August 2 – 8, 2026
№ 6
July 26 – August 1, 2026
№ 5
July 19 – 25, 2026
№ 4
July 12 – 18, 2026
№ 3
July 5 – 11, 2026
№ 2
June 28 – July 4, 2026
№ 1
June 21 – 27, 2026