Weather Center

Track record

How our launch-weather calls have done against what actually happened

Open transparency on how our launch-weather model is doing. Every time the crew tags a real launch outcome, we score what the tool predicted against what actually happened, and refit the model — so you can watch it get sharper over time. Lower Brier and higher hit rate mean better calls.

These scores grade the scrub odds the forecaster gave before each tagged launch; the Weather Center prints the same number the other way round, as Weather GO (100 minus the scrub odds). How the number works →